Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ASTANI-20
in China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASTANI-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (05 Nov 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)
Landfall between
04 Nov 2020 18:00 - 05 Nov 2020 18:00

in Philippines

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 102 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 980000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 29 Oct 2020 12:00 185 No people No people
Green 2 29 Oct 2020 18:00 185 No people No people
Green 3 30 Oct 2020 00:00 185 No people No people
Green 4 30 Oct 2020 06:00 176 No people No people
Green 5 30 Oct 2020 12:00 167 No people No people
Green 6 30 Oct 2020 18:00 167 No people No people
Green 7 31 Oct 2020 00:00 194 1 thousand No people Philippines
Green 8 31 Oct 2020 06:00 194 3.5 million No people Philippines
Green 9 31 Oct 2020 12:00 148 No people No people
Green 10 31 Oct 2020 18:00 148 6 million No people Philippines
Orange 11 01 Nov 2020 00:00 139 10.2 million 1.4 million Philippines
Green 12 01 Nov 2020 06:00 157 6.4 million 50 thousand Philippines
Green 13 01 Nov 2020 12:00 148 3.2 million 9 thousand Philippines
Orange 14 01 Nov 2020 18:00 148 6.4 million 980 thousand Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 29 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 8.2, 148.4
GREEN
2 29 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.4, 147.4
GREEN
3 30 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.3, 146
GREEN
4 30 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.3, 143.3
GREEN
5 30 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12, 142.2
GREEN
6 30 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.4, 140.7
GREEN
7 31 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 13.3, 139.7
GREEN
8 31 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, 138.7
GREEN
9 31 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.7, 137.6
GREEN
10 31 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.8, 136.5
GREEN
11 01 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.7, 134.4
GREEN
12 01 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.2, 132.8
GREEN
13 01 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.9, 131.5
GREEN
14 01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 129.8
GREEN
14 02 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 17.6, 128.4
GREEN
14 02 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.3, 128
GREEN
14 03 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.5, 128.2
GREEN
14 03 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 18.4, 128.2
ORANGE
14 04 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 130 360000 people 6 million people 18, 126.6
ORANGE
14 05 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 970000 people 6.4 million people 18.2, 121.9 Philippines
GREEN
14 06 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 19.3, 116.8
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines

Provinces

Region Province Country
Cagayan Valley Philippines
Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines
Ilocos Philippines

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Bacarra Ilocos Philippines City 9600 people
San Nicolas Ilocos Philippines City 20000 people
Laoag Ilocos Philippines City 100000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Taggat 5 0
Laoag International LAO 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Aparri PHAPR Philippines
Abulog Philippines
Claveria Philippines
Laoag PHLAO Philippines
Dirique Inlet Philippines

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Balza, Philippines. This height is estimated for 05 Nov 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (218 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 01 Nov 2020 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Balza Philippines  0.6
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Buguey Philippines  0.5
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Punta Philippines  0.5
05 Nov 2020 17:00 Gonzaga Philippines  0.5
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Alilinu Philippines  0.4
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Aparri Philippines  0.3
05 Nov 2020 17:00 Bawa Philippines  0.3
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Bisagu Philippines  0.3
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Linao Philippines  0.3
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Pequit Philippines  0.3
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.3
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.3
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Wright Philippines  0.3
05 Nov 2020 17:00 Cabiraoan Philippines  0.3
05 Nov 2020 16:00 Casambalangan Philippines  0.3
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Bangon Philippines  0.2
05 Nov 2020 17:00 San Vincente Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.2
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Catuguran Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 08:00 San Andres Philippines  0.2
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Cabuluan Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Babatngon Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.2
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Naguilian Philippines  0.2
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Abulug Philippines  0.2
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Pagsanjan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Bantayan Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 San Juan Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Fugu Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Rajang Malaysia  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Culaba Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Tabojab Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Daram Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Igot Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Santa Margarita Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Liu'ao China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Labigan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Bagas Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Bikal Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Pandan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Paet Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Rizal Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Madridejos Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Sillon Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Weitou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Chin-ching China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Chen-hai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Yongning China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 08:00 Chendai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 08:00 Hsi-pu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 08:00 Huqiu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 08:00 Wutian China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Guleitou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Gangkou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Chihu China  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Bangan Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Taccuen Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Shih-shih China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Silanga Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Capitun-an Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Bahay Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Balat-guti Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Corocauayan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Calubian Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Lico Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Tucdao Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Biliran Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 San Shah China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Guhuai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Langqi China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Tantou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Chang-chiang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Yunlong China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Chin-feng China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Guanjing China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Qingfeng China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Pingtan China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 23:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 23:00 I-shan China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 23:00 Jinxiang China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 23:00 Beilong China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Chin-men Taiwan  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Lianhe China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Chin-men Tao Taiwan  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Yang-chai Taiwan  0.1
03 Nov 2020 07:00 Fotan China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Fugong China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Gangwei China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Xucuo China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Gulangyu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Daomei China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Zhenhai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 07:00 Hsia-mei China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Shentu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Songyu China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 23:00 Gexiang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 10:00 Gongqiancun China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 10:00 Chencheng China  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Tanza Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Cadagatan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Carigara Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Barugo Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Hsiang-chih China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Beicuo China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Caibiran Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Bitoon Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Antipolo Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Tindog Sur Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Tindog Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Calape Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Alegria Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Maya Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Cabucgayan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Bonga Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Calbayog Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Balud Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Tuburan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Tabuelan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Tabunok Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Placer Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Batad Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 San Remigio Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Domorog Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Tagaytay Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Bogo Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Catmon Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Borbon Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Tabogon Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Nailon Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Salag Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Odlot Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 20:00 Tagnucan Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Wuhang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Houtian China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Fengwo China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Tung-tai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Baisheng China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Ting-hai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Anhai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Mabi China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Guanban China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Ch'ing-hsu Taiwan  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Zhangban China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Wangchuan China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Qian'an China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Dongsha China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Dawu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Chongwu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Lingchuan China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Fengwei China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Hsiao-tso China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 04:00 Zhongmen China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 04:00 P'u-hsi China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 04:00 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 04:00 Meizhou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Daitou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 04:00 Pinghai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Jiangtou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 07:00 Hecuo China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Liuwudian China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Aotou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 An-ting Taiwan  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Shijing China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Tung-shih China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Yakou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 10:00 Chengguanzhen China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Jiuzhen China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 06:00 Xiamen China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 21:00 Dalu China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 21:00 Guan'ao China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 21:00 Songmen China  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Manila Philippines  0.1
05 Nov 2020 18:00 Sorongan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 09:00 Kuala Tatau Malaysia  0.1
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Kampong Kuala Sibuti Malaysia  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Sipitang Malaysia  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Mesapol Malaysia  0.1
02 Nov 2020 08:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Huanglong China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Cao Yu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Shihu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 04:00 Fuye China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Sansha China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Hinigaran Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 04:00 Nanri China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Zhelin China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Shenao China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Nanao China  0.1
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Cavite Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Weston Malaysia  0.1
02 Nov 2020 19:00 Capoocan Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Luxia China  0.1